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imo, I think it's a bit of both.

> Further more, people living in different countries kill each other at irregular time intervals, so that also for this reason any one who thinks about the future must live in fear and terror.

It sounds like he's speaking to the common intervals of war during his lifetime. From 1879-1955 Einstein would have been alive for roughly 27 wars that involved the US and there's probably a multiplicative factor there for international conflicts and wars.

> This is due to the fact that the intelligence and character of the masses are incomparably lower than the intelligence and character of the few who produce some thing valuable for the community. I trust that posterity will read these statements with a feeling of proud and justified superiority.

The way I read this is that people are inevitably who vote for war. It's similar to the attitude prevalent in the song "Forever Young" by Alphaville:

        Can you imagine how we won the war?
        Little fascist lady she loves you so
        Following her leader, she's getting in tune
        The music's played by the madmen
which became

        Can you imagine when this race is won
        Turn our golden faces into the sun
        Praising our leaders we're getting in tune
        The music's played by the madmen
I reason about that as juxtaposed to his comments on his contribution to the atomic bomb:

> “Had I known that the Germans would not succeed in producing an atomic bomb, I would never have lifted a finger.” (1947)



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