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Hinton (who's the only person on the list in your post who could really qualify as an expert here) has already made some glaringly wrong predictions about AI progress, such as the prediction that radiologists would be obsolete by now.

No-one can predict the future. Experts have a slightly better track record than tea leaves – but only slightly. There are experts in $DISCIPLINE, but there are no experts on "the future of $DISCIPLINE".



Of course AI is better than radiologists today but it will take some time to replace them. I give up though just wanted to see reactions.


"Of course AI is better"? In all cases for all types of analysis and treatment? That is again trivially falsifiable. To be clear, I'm researching physically next to the AI people on campus and some of them are doing very smart stuff (including in medicine) but I don't think that any of the researchers or profs would repeat the casual claim that you just made.


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Could you please stop posting unsubstantive comments and flamebait? You've unfortunately been doing it repeatedly, in this thread and others. It's not what this site is for, and destroys what it is for.

If you wouldn't mind reviewing https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and taking the intended spirit of the site more to heart, we'd be grateful.


If you're not going to listen to the answers, why did you ask the question?




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